Monday, 30 November 2009

I have been asked to give a little bit of an insight in how to make your own winning racing system so I will try and address this in this article.

Two systems I found and then went on to improve were as follows:


ALWAYS BACK THE FAVOURITE IN SELLING RACES

This first method is centered on purely 'selling' races. As we all know, or should, these races are very low in class, where the horse is offered for auction after the completion of the race to the highest bidder. If The 1000 Guineas and The Derby are top class races then a 'selling stakes' is the complete opposite end of the scale.

It should come as no surprise that most punters will wager most money on the better class of races and in turn, that the most money in those races is wagered on the favourite. I told you... no surprises there.

But... and here is the killer fact that most people miss, the favourite in the top class of races is proven to return LESS money than the favourite in lower class races? Unbelievable but true. Now I'm not going to have a great wordy explanation of why this may or may not be the case, but all recorded data will back this up should you choose to evaluate it and, as a pro-investor, believe me you need to.

These facts are from my extensive database:

Group class favourites have won 238 from 735 starts over the last 5 years, and returned a LOSS £42.98 to £1 stake which equates to minus 5.85%

Selling class favourites have won 419 from 1286 races, and returned a PROFIT of £25.57 to £1 stake which is PLUS 1.99%

It just goes to show that even bad races have a winner! Now, armed with that simple piece of basic knowledge, that simply backing favourites in 'sellers' will make you a profit, you can see that becoming something of an expert in 'selling stakes' races might be a fruitful niche. But don't get too excited... it's not going to make you retire just yet. But do note that niche market betting and becoming an expert in your chosen area is so mutch better than spreading yourself too thin.

With a little further investigation and more research, you will find that you can refine this initial method even further and make it considerably more profitable.

How? Well just stick to the turf races only, back the race favourite where the horse is aged four years old or more. Can you see hown this is now building into a profitable betting system?

Had you done this over the last five years, you would have seen the following:

104 winners from 267 starters (38.95% win rate)

£107.72 PROFIT for £1 level stake (40.34%)

PROFIT every season, our aim has been achieved.

So, learn to focus upon one particular type of race to start with, it is easier to develop a profitable method, compared to he everyday punters scatter-gun approach?

Here is another example.

LAY THOSE SHORT-PRICED LADIES IN MIXED COMPANY

Obviously, this second system is a laying system, and this time, rather than being focused on a particular race type, I am looking at a certain type of horse - fillies (female horses).

Using the same priciples we established before, take a short-priced filly running against the male horses, on going that is good to firm or softer, and at distances beyond a mile.

Going back five seasons, these runners LOST a whopping 23.71% of stakes.

Allowing for laying at around 6-8% over SP (at odds on, the margins between Betfair and SP are much narrower), and of course taking the 5% commission into account, this still gives us a respectable enough 12% return on our investment.

Although the fillies win often enough (nearly half of them come home the winner) you can still profit handsomely in the long-run, because of the low-liability prices of 1/2, 1/3, 1/4 etc.

So that's yet another example of narrowing your field of vision, focussing, setting your sights on a particular target, in order to make profits from betting.

Both these systems will highlight only a limited number of qualifying horses each week, and you must accept that profits will be slow but steady.But, add these two little gems to your betting portfolio and you will increase your profits steadily

So there you have it, two simple yet reliable systems, both of which you can start using straight away.No need to paper trade, these work and continue to generate constant profits. But, they can be improved still further if you look closely. Now I'm not going to do all the work for you am I!

OK, in a couple days I'll be posting on another requested topic the dreaded DISCIPLINE. Be Lucky...


Racing Tips - Monday 30th November

As promised, here are the selections I will be advising to various services today:

Fakenham 12:50:00 5 Peace Corps Win
Folkestone 13:00:00 3 Numide LAY
Fakenham 13:20:00 6 Working Title Win
Fakenham 13:50:00 6 Petroglyph Win
Folkestone 14:00:00 5 Ponchatrain Win
Fakenham 14:20:00 1 Strawberry Win
Folkestone 15:00:00 6 Helm Win

These may be updated during the afternoon so don't just take these and run. Do check back.
Best of luck!


Sunday, 29 November 2009

Blackjack System That's Better Than My Own!

Now I know this isn't exactly Racing Tips stuff, but we all wan't to make money however we can right?

Now, I am sure you have come across many gambling systems online promising you the world but repeatedly failing to deliver so what is different about The Blackjack System?

Me too, that's why I produced my own over 20 years ago and was still using it daily until I came across this.

I don't take system claims lightly so I sought out the author and publisher and finally I managed to talk to Phil via instant messenger to find out a little more so we can be clear exactly what The Blackjack System is all about and more importantly if it actually can make you money.

Here is a transcript of how the conversation went:

Me. Hi Phil, thanks for chatting to me, first of all can you explain briefly how the impressive run in the video was achieved, is this some sort of trickery or practice play game?

Phil. Hi the video was an instance where I performed particularly well in a very short period of time. The video is completely genuine and you can see that if you watch it, £650 was made in under 5 minutes.

Me. You would say that though wouldn't you?

Phil. Well, you can see for yourself in the video, a common trick used by one particular famous blackjack system seller is to cover up the part of the video that shows it is in 'fun mode'. I have no need to mess with my videos as I have nothing to hide, this system can and does make money.

Me. How often can you make money this fast?

Phil. It can be done regularly. Obviously it is not going to happen every time or always as quickly, blackjack is a mixture of luck and skill, I can't control what card is coming next, but what I can do is use every variable possible to my advantage to ensure I maximize my profitability.

Me. Is this system legal?

Phil. Of course, you are doing nothing odd or wrong. There is no magic tricks involved, it is just techniques and strategy to give you the best possible chance of making a profit.

Me. What do you reveal that isn't already know about blackjack?

Phil. I think this guide is a comprehensive guide for both beginners and pro blackjack players. There are some great nuggets of information in the guide that even the most experienced player would be glad to hear of.

Me. Why do you charge for your guide, aren't you making enough money?

Phil. Quite simply, I want to make money for teaching people how to be successful blackjack players, I am no different than any professional who offers his knowledge in exchange for a small fee. I feel I have a good knowledge of the game and believe customers will be happy to pay a small fee to ensure they perform best at the tables.

Me. You mention casinos bonuses, aren't they just marketing ploys used by the casino to get players to join?

Phil. To a certain extent yes, the casinos are businesses they want to make money. They have also made it much harder to withdraw bonuses. Casinos like to label successful gamblers as, "Bonus abusers". The fact is they don't like to be beaten, I know of the best places to play and how to play to ensure you come out on top.

Me. Get rich quick schemes always will fail at some point do you agree?

Phil. I think everyone has to approach using a gambling method as a calculated risk, the main point is always that you have fun using the method. My aim is to teach people how to play blackjack and make a profit in both the short term and in the long term. Can I guarantee they will get rich quick, no. Will they increase there profits from playing blackjack. Almost certainly.

Me. Ok, you sound like your above board, but what if I don't like the manual or I want a refund will you bother to help me?

Phil. I have purchased many gambling books and because the internet is so huge you have to account for 90% of all gambling ebooks being useless, maybe more. I think people will appreciate this guide, if they don't. No hard feelings, you will get your refund. I answer all emails as fast as I can.

Me. It sounds great, thanks for talking to me, so how much is The Blackjack System?

Phil. For a limited time I am selling the system for just £17, this is limited to 500 copies as I don't want to completely flood the internet and cause the method to be a victim of its own success. After that I will raise the price to keep buyer figures to a reasonable level. So, if you have some friends that you would like to get hold of this, let them know now before it's too late.

Me. Thanks for talking to me, you have helped clear a lot of things up.

Well as you can see, Phil didn't try and waffle or blind me with science, which is just as well as I have pretty much heard it all before.

Watch this video proof:




Anyway... that's it for now, check it out for yourself by clicking here or just click the image at the top of the page.


Thursday, 26 November 2009

Racing Tips - The Underground Punter

What's all the fuss about this Underground Punter program?

Well, every now and then something special, a little nugget, comes long and this is definitely one of them. You see, there are great systems from reputable people out there, the secret is finding them. And, when you have looked at as many systems as I have over the years, you spot the fakes straight away.

Why am I so excited, simply because it's a new horse racing/ sports betting software that only a few have tried including myself! Underground Punter is not actually a waste of time like many others, it is a horse racing and sports betting software that uses the secrets accidentally found by regular punters like you and I that turned out to be very profitable!

This is a completely new betting system has been written by Liam Sherwood the manual came in the usual PDF format and contained a rather lengthy 58 pages …… a reviewers nightmare! Unfortunately, iIt seems to be today's trend for budding system authors to continually stuff otherwise practical manuals with so much unnecessary padding, that it borders on the unbelievable, leaving the reader amid the ashes of what might have been.

This new guide and software provided by the Underground Punter has really opened my eyes on the world of sports betting especially and who really makes the money in the punting and sports betting game! It gave me a much greater insight into how the bookies actually work on a daily basis and how the odds we see are compiled. This alone is invaluable to any serious punter. You will learn how to use the starting odds and changes to determine the winner. I tried all the techniques and the selections that the software produced for me and I had 7 winners out of 10 in one day! I made easy £750.75 by using the Underground Punter methods and software alone!

Try Underground Punter Here...

Setting yourself up, Spread Betting risks, In Play betting, along with directions to streaming sites, should one wish to view matches, are all covered in depth. There were even pages devoted to the fundamentals of football, and explanations on Leverage betting and how it works in the real world.

The system itself does not involve lengthy researching from online form guides and their like and it does not even require it’s users to have prior knowledge and experience.

Without giving too much away, it tends to make money using a couple of stats and techniques that have been proven over time to be pretty reliable. It is however, a system involving Spread Betting on soccer matches and bets can be placed at a certain stage within the qualifying matches. Selections therefore qualify at a pre determined scorecast within each of the framework of the football league structure.

Time spent placing bets is at an absolute premium, and a distinct advantage too is that time spent at the computer is kept to an absolute minimum. It looks very consistent in its earning capacity at this early stage and the methodology employed within the system really does the business. Is this The Holy Grail we have all been looking for? Only time will tell, but it is now firmly in my portfolio!

Try Underground Punter Here...

Underground punter is by no means a scam like others, it will show you exactly how to pick winners over 75% Of the time turning you in to a very profitable punter!

Have you ever wondered how those professional punters do it for a living and win so many of their bets? It's simple, they know a lot of dark secrets and things that you will never know, unless you try the Underground Punter! Underground Punter was actually created by one of those professional punters that got tired of the punting game and decided to sell out all his secrets to ammateur and other professional punters for a very quick profit!

Over all, after trying Underground Punter I am telling you that the Underground Punter is not to be missed and it will actually show you how you too can become a professional punter like me!


Racing Tips - A Very Profitable Betting Strategy [Part 2]

Okay, straight down to business.

There are 3 stages to this betting system staking plan. I will detail each stage and then provide an example to show the whole operation.

Stage 1

We are going to calculate our stakes for each selection using the dutching method I explained in an earlier article. Remember our aim is to achieve a clear profit no matter which of our selection wins.

For the purpose of this excercise we set our target at 10.00. We would work out the required stakes as follows. Assuming the following:

Horse A - 2/1
Horse B - 3/1

Using our dutching formula to calculate our staking:

Stake Horse A: 2.0 + 1=3.0 ~ 10/3.0 = 3.3
Stake Horse B: 3.0 + 1=4.0 ~ 10/4.0 = 2.5

Profit if Horse A Wins: 3.3 x 2.0 = 6.6-2.5 = 4.1
Profit if Horse B Wins: 2.5 x 3.0 = 7.5-3.3 = 4.2

So, as you can see, a clear profit whichever horse wins!

Stage 2

If our first bet produces the required target then our target for the next day remains the same i.e. 10.00. If both our selections lose, making a loss, we increase the target for the next day by the total amounr lost. In this case, 5.8, so our new target would be 15.8. You would now calculate the stakes for the next bet at the prices available. Don't forget the FREE online calculators to help with this if you are struggling with the math.

If your next bet wins, you would reduce the target amount to the original one set, in our example 10. If there is no winner increase again as above.

Stage 3

Okay, I can hear you all already. This is just a incremental staking plan! Well, yes and no, because at this stage we will introduce a safety net to keep control on the stakes spiraling out of control.

I must stress however that this control will have no affect on the overall probability of the system over a given period of time. We set a limit on the target of 50. Should we go over this, we hold these losses in "reserve" and take them into consideration again at a more profitable point in the future.

A Detailed Example

Let's suppose the target for the days racing has reached 45. The stakes placed on the next bet are 8 and 10 respectively. Both selections lose giving a loss of 18. This means, that in theory, the next days target would now be 63, which is above our safety stop. So we split this and keep the target at 50 and hold 13 in "reserve". This reserve must be recovered before we can start to reduce our 50 target.

The next day we are back to normal and have a winner producing 15. The target is now 50 + 13 - 15. This gives us a new target of 48. We have recovered the 13 in reserve and reduced the target by the remaining balance of 2.

Working your staking in this manner will keep you in control of this excellent betting system. And with good racing tips you will not fail to profit.


Tuesday, 24 November 2009

Racing Tips - A Very Profitable Betting Strategy

This is a very profitable betting system and staking strategy that is one of the mainstay's of my betting portfolio. I discovered it many years ago and it has consistently made good steady profits for me over the years. There are many varying copies of this horse racing system which you will be charged for but they all stem from this basic method. If you have good form knowledge or a good racing tips provider you will reap some substantial rewards if you follow this betting system carefully.

The Selection Method

For the purpose of this article we will assume that we are making our own form selections and not using horse racing tips from a service provider.

The Criteria

  • Non-Handicap horse races only
  • Maximum number of runners=10

Make a list of the races that meet the criteria above. We will now be looking for a single race from this list, so, we need to narrow the list down. In order to do this we will check the forecast SP's of the Favourites in each race. The race that has the highest priced SP Favourite will be our qualifying race provided that the forecast SP lies in the range of 2/1 to 4/1. If it does, we have our race, if it doesn't don't be tempted to force the issue. 15/8 is not 2/1 and 9/2 is not 4/1... you have been warned!

There will be occassions when there is more than one qualifying race from your list. In this instance we will use the race with the fewest runners. On the rare occassion when there is still more than one race our final criteria would be the lowest prize value to the winner. All this info can be found in the Racing Post or at one of the many online horse racing sites that produce race cards.

By now we should have our race for the day.

We will be backing the 1st and 2nd Favourite in the race. If you are not sure how to do this see the article I posted on Dutching betting systems. N.B. If there are joint forecast favourites, these are the two selections. If there is a clear favourite and joint second favourites, the selections are the forecast favourite and whichever of the joint forecast second favourites has the higher form rating, and, if these are equal, we will use the horse which ran most recently. You can again find all this information in the Racing Post or one of the many online horse racing sites.

And there you have it, a simple but very sweet betting system. You should now have identified the selected horse race for the day and the selections we will be backing.

I will deal with the Staking System we will employ in my next post. So until then practice your selection process. It is really easy after a few run throughs.